Friday 29 November 2013

Homing Pigeon


Homing Pigeon

The Homing Pigeon Candlestick pattern is a   bullish reversal pattern.It appearance means weakening of the current downtrend.This Candlestick pattern has two black(or red)candlesticks where the price of the stock closed down from the opening price on the candlesticks. This candlestick pattern is the same as Harami candlestick pattern except for the 2 Day’s realbody.

To identify Homing Pigeon Candlestick Reversal Pattern,The following  few criterion required

1.The market must be in a downtrend.

2.The realbody of 1 Day candle is black(or red).

3.The  realbody of the 2 Day candle is also black(or red) and is completely engulfed by the realbody of 1 Day’s candle.(It means that the 2 Day opens higher than the close of the 1 Day’s candle.Also 2 Day’s candle closes lower than the open of the 1 Day’s candle but still closes above the closing price of the 1 Day’s candle.

The following chart of Union Bank stock illustrates the Homing Pigeon Pattern.

Monday 25 November 2013

Dark Cloud Cover

Dark Cloud Cover 

Dark Cloud Cover is a bearish candlestick reversal pattern, similarly to the Bearish Engulfing Pattern. There are two parts of Dark Cloud Cover formation:

1.Bullish candle Day 1)

2.Bearish candle (Day 2)

A Dark Cloud Cover Pattern happens when a bearish candle on Day 2 closes below the middle of   Day 1’s candle (50%below full body of Day 1 bullish candle).

And also, price gaps up on Day 2 only to fill the gap and close notably into the gains made by Day 1’s bullish candle.

The rejection of the gap up is a bearish sign. The retracement into the gain of the previous Day’s gains adds even more weakness. Bulls are unable to hold the prices higher, demand is unable to maintain with the   building supply.

Dark Cloud Cover Candlestick chart   Example

The chart below of   USDINR CURRENCY FUTURE shows an example of Dark Cloud Cover Pattern.  

Dark Cloud Cover Sell  Signal

Traders   regularly suggest not going short in the market (selling) exactly when one sees the Dark Cloud Cover Pattern (Day 1&Day 2)until other confirming   technical signals are given such as a price break of an upward trend line or    other technical indicators. One reason for waiting for confirmation is that the Dark Cloud Cover Pattern is a bearish pattern, but not as bearish as it could be part of Day 1 have been still there in price.

A more bearish reversal pattern is the Bearish Engulfing Pattern that fully rejects the gains of Day 1 and usually closes below the lows of Day 1.

Also the bullish equivalent of the Dark Cloud Cover Pattern is the Piercing Pattern.

 



 
 
 

Saturday 23 November 2013

Candlestick Basics


 

Candlestick basics: Candlestick charts are an effective way of  seeing price movements. There are two basic candlesticks:

. Bullish candle: When the close is higher than the open (usually green or white)

.Bearish candle: When the close is lower than the open (usually red or black)

 

 

Candlestick parts                                                     

There are three main parts to candlestick:

Upper Shadow: The vertical line between the high of the day and the close(bullish candle)or open(bearish candle)

Real Body: The difference between  the open and close;coloured portion of the candlestick

Lower Shadow: The vertical line between the low of the day and the open(bullish candle)or close (bearish candle)

Candlestick patterns

The power of the candlestick charts is with various candlicksticks forming reversal and continuation patterns.maxmisewealthblogspot.com has many detailed explanations of this candlestick patterns; the links are given below:



.Bearish Engulfing Pattern       



.Doji

.Dragonfly Doji

.Gravestone Doji

.Evening Star

.Morning Star

.Hammer

 

.Hanging Man

.Inverted Hammer

.Shotting Star

.Harami

.Tweezer Tops & Bottoms

 
 
 
 
 

Bullish Engulfing Pattern


Bullish Engulfing Pattern:The Bullish Engulfing Pattern is a bullish reversal pattern.It happens at the bottoms of a downtrend.The pattern consists of two candlesticks:

.Smaller Bearish Candle(Day 1)

.Larger Bullish Candle(DAY 2) )

The Bearish Candle real body of Day 1 is usually contained within the real body of the bullish candle of   Day 2.On Day 2,the price at the beginning gaps down,however,the bears do not get far before bulls taken control and push prices higher,filling in the gaps down  from the market beginning (open) and pushing prices past the previous day’s open.

The power of the Bullish Engulfing Pattern comes from the notable change of sentiment from a bearish gap down in the beginning, to a large bullish real body candle that closes at the highs of the day. Bears have overstayed their welcome and Bulls have taken control the market.

The chart below of the Yes Bank shows an example of a Bullish Engulfing Pattern occurs at the end of a downtrend.  

 












Bullish Engulfing Buy Signal

There are three methods to buy using Bullish Engulfing Pattern.The buy signals that are given below are ordered from the most aggressive to most conservative.

1.Buy at the close Day 2 when prices prices rallied upwards from the gap down in the open.A strong indication that the rally on Day 2 was significant and truly a reversal of market sentiment if there was a increase in volume that accompanied the large move upward in price.

2.Buy on the Day after Bullish Engulfing Pattern occurs, by waiting until the next day is continuing and was not just one day  happening like short covering rally.In the YES Bank chart above,A trader would likely to enter the market long(buy) on the day after Bullish Engulfing Pattern because buying continued.(next candle green one or white one)

3.After a trader sees the Bullish Engulfing Pattern,the trader would wait for another technical signal,mainly a price Break above the downward resistance line before entering a long (buy order)in the market.In  the YES BANK  chart above ,the downward resistance line after the Bullish Engulfing Pattern Day.

The Bullish Engulfing Pattern is one of the strongest Candlestick Pattern.Its opposite one is the the Bearish Engulfing Pattern.   

                                                                             

 

Thursday 21 November 2013

Bearish Engulfing Pattern


Bearish Engulfing Pattern: The Bearish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern is a bearish reversal pattern,It is happening at the top of an uptrend.The pattern consists of two candlesticks:

.Smaller Bullish Candle(Day 1)

.Larger Bearish candle(Day 2)

In general,  the bullish candle real body of Day 1 is contained within the real body of the bearish candle of Day 2.

The gapup (bullish sign) on Day 2,but the bulls do not push prices higher  before bears taken over and push prices further below,not only filling in  the gap,down from the day beginning open but also,pushing prices further down the previous day’s open.

With the Bearish Engulfing Pattern ,there is an notable change of sentiment from the bullish gap up in the beginning(open),to the larger bearish  real body candle that closed at the lows of the day.Bears have successfully taken charge for the day and possibly for the next few days.

 

 

In general,  the bullish candle real body of Day 1 is contained within the real body of the bearish candle of Day 2.

The gapup (bullish sign) on Day 2,but the bulls do not push prices higher  before bears taken over and push prices further below,not only filling in  the gap,down from the day beginning open but also,pushing prices further down the previous day’s open.

 

With the Bearish Engulfing Pattern ,there is an notable change of sentiment from the bullish gap up in the beginning(open),to the larger bearish  real body candle that closed at the lows of the day.Bears have successfully taken charge for the day and possibly for the next few days.

The follwing chart of ALAGABAD BANK(ALBK) explains Bearish Engulfing Pattern happening in daily chart.



 
Bearish Engulfing Sell Signal

Three methods for selling using the Bearish Engulfing Pattern are listed below in the order of most aggressive to most conservative.

1.Sell at the close of the Day 2. An even stronger indication to sell is given when there is substantial increase in volume that accompanies the large down move in price.

2.Sell on the day after the Bearish Engulfing Pattern occurs;by waiting until the next day to sell,a trader is sure that the bearish reversal pattern is for real and not for one day happening. In the chart above the trader would probably entered on the day after the  Bearish Engulfing Pattern because selling continued.(because next candle is black or red)

3.Usually traders wait for other technical signals such as a price break below the upward support line before entering a sell order.However in the case of ALBK  above sell signal happens on the next day after Bearish Engulfing Pattern occurred because the trend line break below support after Bearish Engulfing Pattern happening.

 

 

 
 

Tuesday 9 July 2013

LEADMINI AND ZINCMIN ICALL

LEADMINI AND ZINCMINI CALL

LEADMINI BUY IN THE RANGE 123.35 TO 123.7 TARGET 124.3,124.8

ZINIMINI SELL BELOW 111.7 TARGET 111.1,110.8,110.5 (INTRADAY CALL)
Disclaimer:This is my personal view and trade taken on these observation should be traded with strict stop loss.

Monday 1 July 2013

LEADMINI AND ZINCMINI CALL

BUY LEADMINI AT IN THE RANGE 120.5 TO 120.75 TARGET 121.3,121.6(INTRADAY CALL)
SELL ZINCMINI AT IN THE RANGE 109.80TO 110.1  TARGET 109.3,109(INTRADAY CALL)Disclaimer:This is my personal view and trade taken on these observation should be traded with strict stop loss

Sunday 24 March 2013

APOLLO HOSPITALS-INVESTMENT IDEAS


 
 
 
 
 
APOLLO HOSPITAL:Apollo Hospital sales for 31 march year ended 2008 is RS1214.7CRORES AND ITS sales for the year ended 31 march2012  is RS 3147.53 crores.Its CAGR(compounded annual growth rate )of sales is 26.87% over this 4 years period. Its CAGR of net profit is 26.85% over this 4 years period(2008 to 2012) . Its CAGR of operating profit is 30.67% over this 4 years period(2008 to 2012).Its expected sales for the year ended 31march 2013 is Rs3400 crores AND NET PROFIT is 320 crores and expected EPS(EARNING PER SHARE) is RS 23.79. Its expected sales for the year ended 31march 2014 IS RS 3800 CRORES and net profit is RS 380 CRORES AND ITSexpected EPS(EARNING PER SHARE) is RS 28.26. Its expected sales for the year ended 31march 2015 IS RS 4400 and expected net profit is RS460 crores and expected EPS(EARNING PER SHARE) is RS 34.21. Its expected sales for the year ended 31march 2016 IS RS 5000 crores and expected net profit is 520 crores and expected EPS is Rs38.67.It has added 500 beds out of 1500 beds in this year.It also have expansion plan of further investment of 2400 crores with additional bed capacity of 2500 beds in 2013-2014 and 2014-2015.
 Based on Its historic PE RATIOS one can expect price of RS 1094 FOR THIS YEAR and expected price for 2014 is RS1299 AND expected price of RS 1573 FOR 2015.Long term investors  accumulate  this stock every decline.
Disclaimer:This is my personal view and trade taken on these observation should be traded with strict stop loss.I do not hold  shares in this company
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Friday 15 March 2013

NIFTY FIFTY PIVOT

NIFTY FIFTY PIVOT

SYMBOL R3 Mid R3 R2 Mid R2 R1 Mid R1 Pivot Mid S1 S1 MID S2 S2 Mid S3 S3
ACC 1293.80 1286.60 1279.40 1274.35 1269.30 1262.10 1254.90 1249.85 1244.80 1237.60 1230.40 1225.35 1220.30
AMBUJACEM 196.45 195.15 193.85 193.03 192.20 190.90 189.60 188.78 187.95 186.65 185.35 184.53 183.70
ASIANPAINT 5132.63 5085.73 5038.82 5003.23 4967.63 4920.73 4873.82 4838.23 4802.63 4755.73 4708.82 4673.23 4637.63
AXISBANK 1444.87 1424.90 1404.93 1391.90 1378.87 1358.90 1338.93 1325.90 1312.87 1292.90 1272.93 1259.90 1246.87
BAJAJ-AUTO 1931.87 1921.80 1911.73 1897.50 1883.27 1873.20 1863.13 1848.90 1834.67 1824.60 1814.53 1800.30 1786.07
BANKBARODA 761.07 754.30 747.53 741.90 736.27 729.50 722.73 717.10 711.47 704.70 697.93 692.30 686.67
BHARTIARTL 326.82 324.48 322.13 320.25 318.37 316.03 313.68 311.80 309.92 307.58 305.23 303.35 301.47
BHEL 205.17 203.98 202.78 201.80 200.82 199.63 198.43 197.45 196.47 195.28 194.08 193.10 192.12
BPCL 415.10 411.58 408.05 405.35 402.65 399.13 395.60 392.90 390.20 386.68 383.15 380.45 377.75
CAIRN 305.60 303.85 302.10 300.55 299.00 297.25 295.50 293.95 292.40 290.65 288.90 287.35 285.80
CIPLA 394.13 392.23 390.32 389.05 387.78 385.88 383.97 382.70 381.43 379.53 377.62 376.35 375.08
COALINDIA 325.28 324.18 323.07 322.10 321.13 320.03 318.92 317.95 316.98 315.88 314.77 313.80 312.83
DLF 296.77 294.05 291.33 289.68 288.02 285.30 282.58 280.93 279.27 276.55 273.83 272.18 270.52
DRREDDY 1848.18 1841.88 1835.57 1830.93 1826.28 1819.98 1813.67 1809.03 1804.38 1798.08 1791.77 1787.13 1782.48
GAIL 351.93 349.33 346.72 343.18 339.63 337.03 334.42 330.88 327.33 324.73 322.12 318.58 315.03
GRASIM 3122.47 3099.10 3075.73 3056.10 3036.47 3013.10 2989.73 2970.10 2950.47 2927.10 2903.73 2884.10 2864.47
HCLTECH 823.67 816.78 809.88 805.30 800.72 793.83 786.93 782.35 777.77 770.88 763.98 759.40 754.82
HDFC 845.73 839.30 832.87 828.18 823.48 817.05 810.62 805.93 801.23 794.80 788.37 783.68 778.98
HDFCBANK 701.53 689.53 677.52 670.45 663.38 651.38 639.37 632.30 625.23 613.23 601.22 594.15 587.08
HEROMOTOCO 1728.75 1721.28 1713.80 1702.63 1691.45 1683.98 1676.50 1665.33 1654.15 1646.68 1639.20 1628.03 1616.85
HINDALCO 99.67 98.88 98.08 97.58 97.07 96.28 95.48 94.98 94.47 93.68 92.88 92.38 91.87
HINDUNILVR 475.90 471.93 467.95 464.98 462.00 458.03 454.05 451.08 448.10 444.13 440.15 437.18 434.20
ICICIBANK 1187.10 1169.33 1151.55 1141.33 1131.10 1113.33 1095.55 1085.33 1075.10 1057.33 1039.55 1029.33 1019.10
IDFC 98.77 97.08 95.38 94.08 92.77 91.08 89.38 88.08 86.77 85.08 83.38 82.08 80.77
INFY 2940.37 2927.50 2914.63 2904.50 2894.37 2881.50 2868.63 2858.50 2848.37 2835.50 2822.63 2812.50 2802.37
ITC 307.77 306.80 305.83 304.85 303.87 302.90 301.93 300.95 299.97 299.00 298.03 297.05 296.07
JINDALSTEL 382.72 377.73 372.73 369.55 366.37 361.38 356.38 353.20 350.02 345.03 340.03 336.85 333.67
JPASSOCIAT 80.88 79.85 78.82 78.23 77.63 76.60 75.57 74.98 74.38 73.35 72.32 71.73 71.13
KOTAKBANK 694.70 686.78 678.85 673.70 668.55 660.63 652.70 647.55 642.40 634.48 626.55 621.40 616.25
LT 1596.77 1580.53 1564.28 1553.73 1543.17 1526.93 1510.68 1500.13 1489.57 1473.33 1457.08 1446.53 1435.97
LUPIN 611.57 609.40 607.23 605.45 603.67 601.50 599.33 597.55 595.77 593.60 591.43 589.65 587.87
M&M 956.95 948.43 939.90 933.50 927.10 918.58 910.05 903.65 897.25 888.73 880.20 873.80 867.40
MARUTI 1506.37 1486.00 1465.63 1453.93 1442.22 1421.85 1401.48 1389.78 1378.07 1357.70 1337.33 1325.63 1313.92
NTPC 148.83 148.53 148.22 147.88 147.53 147.23 146.92 146.58 146.23 145.93 145.62 145.28 144.93
ONGC 336.07 332.75 329.43 327.05 324.67 321.35 318.03 315.65 313.27 309.95 306.63 304.25 301.87
PNB 841.67 833.00 824.33 817.43 810.52 801.85 793.18 786.28 779.37 770.70 762.03 755.13 748.22
POWERGRID 111.43 111.08 110.72 110.45 110.18 109.83 109.47 109.20 108.93 108.58 108.22 107.95 107.68
RANBAXY 454.03 449.03 444.02 441.18 438.33 433.33 428.32 425.48 422.63 417.63 412.62 409.78 406.93
RELIANCE 898.78 889.95 881.12 875.85 870.58 861.75 852.92 847.65 842.38 833.55 824.72 819.45 814.18
RELINFRA 451.10 446.33 441.55 438.68 435.80 431.03 426.25 423.38 420.50 415.73 410.95 408.08 405.20
SBIN 2385.60 2354.58 2323.55 2306.43 2289.30 2258.28 2227.25 2210.13 2193.00 2161.98 2130.95 2113.83 2096.70
SESAGOA 171.48 170.15 168.82 167.90 166.98 165.65 164.32 163.40 162.48 161.15 159.82 158.90 157.98
SIEMENS 564.77 559.83 554.88 550.88 546.87 541.93 536.98 532.98 528.97 524.03 519.08 515.08 511.07
SUNPHARMA 853.85 851.15 848.45 843.88 839.30 836.60 833.90 829.33 824.75 822.05 819.35 814.78 810.20
TATAMOTORS 314.50 311.55 308.60 306.70 304.80 301.85 298.90 297.00 295.10 292.15 289.20 287.30 285.40
TATAPOWER 105.82 104.68 103.53 102.83 102.12 100.98 99.83 99.13 98.42 97.28 96.13 95.43 94.72
TATASTEEL 373.02 369.33 365.63 363.50 361.37 357.68 353.98 351.85 349.72 346.03 342.33 340.20 338.07
TCS 1615.07 1605.55 1596.03 1588.95 1581.87 1572.35 1562.83 1555.75 1548.67 1539.15 1529.63 1522.55 1515.47
ULTRACEMCO 1950.50 1942.38 1934.25 1927.88 1921.50 1913.38 1905.25 1898.88 1892.50 1884.38 1876.25 1869.88 1863.50
WIPRO 452.72 450.48 448.23 445.80 443.37 441.13 438.88 436.45 434.02 431.78 429.53 427.10 424.67